or trait to
place the ball, not so
much in a given section, but a given distance from the last hit is
called dealer signing or a dealer
Experts have lined up on either side of the dealer roulette signatures issue -- some yea, some nay. Essentially, it boils down to a matter of belief. Some experts believe that some dealers unconsciously do this; other believe there is no consistency to the distance that the ball travels from one spin to the next and, with the changing rotor spin over time, it would be impossible to achieve consistency anyway.
signatures is an
interesting concept. Of
course, if one could follow a thousand dealers and record their spins
thousands of decisions, it might be possible to determine once and for
whether the signature idea is a myth or a reality.
To this date, we know of no such extensive study as this.
Since we are looking for an unconscious ability that these dealers might have, we wouldn’t want them to know that we are studying them because that would affect their spins.
Once dealers realized that we were looking at them specifically, they would become highly conscious of what they were doing. If any roulette signature existed with such a dealer, their awareness of their spinning technique would very quickly erase whatever signature they had.
Now, wouldn’t a
also affect a dealer’s
(A biased wheel is one with a physical defect of some type that causes certain numbers to appear out of proportion to their probabilities.) Yes. Certainly, a dealer would eventually become aware of someone standing near his table recording thousands of spins to ascertain whether the wheel was biased. But, in truth, none of this would matter.
The bias is in the wheel itself and had nothing to do with the dealer.
The other way to
it is that
dealer roulette signatures must
necessarily vary as the wheel speed slows down over time. The dealer
the ball the same way time and again but with each ball-spin, he is
into a fractionally different wheel-spin.
Thus, dealer signatures would move slowly around the wheel as the wheel itself slowed.
When the wheel was
accelerated, you would
see the same patterns as last time. You would have to then analyze the
of the signature -- a complicated task. Still, if dealer signatures
they would be exploitable in long and short-term play, especially
play as the gradual slowing of the wheel’s spin would not affect the
quite so drastically.
If it doesn’t exist, it can’t hurt us -- since it isn’t increasing the house edge against us.
Looking at the
wheel, let us say that
on spin number one the dealer picks the ball up from the 00 pocket and
so that it winds up in the 12 pocket, five pockets away.
On his next spin, he picks the ball up from the 12 pocket and spins it so that it lands in the 6 pocket, five pockets away from the 12. Finally, on this third spin, he lands it in the 23 pocket -- another five pockets away.
The dealer’s signature here would be five.
Of course, three
is not enough to
determine without a doubt about dealer roulette signatures. Since the
that hit was 23, we would now bet on 9 -- five pockets away.
In the best of all possible worlds, the dealer would again spin the ball in such a way that it would land in our 9 -- five pockets away.
In the real world, we would never see a perfect signature.
What we would want
find is a
dealer who places the ball
more than a third of the time within a 12 pocket grouping an average
Let us say that the dealer is able to hit a 12 number grouping, one half of the time. In this way, we would bet those 12 numbers (12 units), lose half the time (-12 units), win half the time because one of our 12 numbers hit (which means we lose 11 units on the numbers that didn’t hit) but win 35 units on the number that did hit for a net win of 24 units (35-11 = 24).
in two spins
we are ahead
12 units or six units per
Thus, if the dealer were able to hit our 12 pockets three times every eight spins we would average 1.5 units per spin as a win (lose 12, lose 12, lose 12, lose 12, lose 12, win 35-11, win 35-11, win 35-11 = 12 units = +1.5 units per spin).
The dealer signature should be readily noticeable on a first reading!
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