Aggressive
Craps Strategies
by
Frank Scoblete
This lesson is
about
playing
Aggressive Craps Strategies at the Learn to Play Craps program.
There is a great in-between, an
area of craps
play that can be rather
daring,
yet still based on sound principles of both math and logic and can,
when things
are going right, yield much more in the way of return than can
traditional
approaches -- and all this without more risk, in fact, all
this with substantially less
risk in most cases.
It is called
Aggressive Craps. It is played to win
money at the tables and drain the casinos dry with comps.
Aggressive
Crappers are more interested in betting on
selected
shooters than they are betting the lowest possible
house-edge bets -- and with good reason.
In fact, these
Crappers are banking on select shooters
changing the actual odds on the game to favor other kinds of betting
than the
traditional Pass and/or Come with Odds.
Certain assumptions are inherent in any system of craps
play, or any gambling system for that matter. There are three
fundamental assumptions
made:
1. Certain
shooters can change a slightly negative game into
a slightly positive game for certain players who know to bet these
shooters.
These shooters are dubbed “rhythmic rollers” or, more recently, “Golden
Shooters.” Some shooters can and do control their rolls to the extent
necessary
to achieve this shift from slightly negative to slightly positive.
2.
Golden Shooters will tend to be consistent in their dice
rolling and in the resultant dice faces that show. This consistency
will be
seen with their dice-sets, delivery and style of betting.
To take advantage of a Golden Shooter, you must adapt your
betting style to
the
Golden Shooter
as
“one size” does not fit all in this realm. That will often mean
deviating from
the mathematically best bets.
A Tale
of Two
Shooters
There are two shooters in this aggressive craps tale: A and B.
Shooter
A just winged the dice down the layout as if he were
trying to not only hit the back wall but send the dice right through
it.
Shooter B, however, took great care with his dice sets, grip, and
delivery.
But
is Shooter B, the shooter who takes deliberate care with his rolls,
really a
Golden Shooter? Is he really capable of changing the nature of the game
so that
an astute bettor, such as you, can take advantage of his roll? From the
information I’ve given you, you could not state definitively one way or
the
other.
Here is what the above information tells us:
1.
Aggressive
Craps: Shooter A is definitely a random roller, not a
rhythmic
roller.
He couldn’t possibly have any control over the dice
at all.
You bet on
all the shooter A’s of the world and craps can’t possibly be anything
more than
its mathematical underpinnings -- which is to say, you will lose in the
long
run that percentage of your total action based on the types of bets you
make. Period.
Shooter A is a waste of your time. Why risk your money on him?
2.
Shooter B
has a chance to be a Golden Shooter as
he seems
to be very careful with his dice set, delivery and betting.
As
you watch
Shooter B, it is obvious that he thinks he has some effect on the dice
or he
would not take such deliberate care with his roll.
3. If
both
Shooter A and Shooter B have absolutely no
control whatsoever over the dice, or if rhythmic rolling does not exist
and
Golden Shooters are merely a figment of my overactive imagination then
betting
only on Shooter B and avoiding Shooter A is still a smart move!
Why?
Because
you have cut your exposure to the house edge!
4.
Aggressive
Craps: Shooter B is also very much aware that he is
playing two
distinct aggressive craps games against the casino when he rolls.
He is
playing the game of
craps and all that that entails, but he is also playing the comp game.
That’s
right. His deciding to Place his numbers before his come-out roll and
leaving
them off during the come-out roll indicates that he is aware the floor
person
will record his maximum spread -- $170 + his Pass Line wager -- and not
his
spread when his Pass Line bet might bump down the Place bet. Bumping
down the
Place bet and taking Odds usually reduces the “comp” spread because
most
casinos do not give you credit for the Odds bet -- an important thing
to
consider.
Another important thing to consider is that his
bets are not working,
not at risk, yet still earning him comp credit.
5.
Therefore, you have nothing to lose and
everything to
gain by assuming that Shooter B is a Golden Shooter. If he isn’t, so
what? You
have cut your exposure to the house edge so you are actually reducing
your
losses. That’s a gain. But if he is a Golden Shooter, then you have a
chance to
play a positive-expectation craps game!
And that could be a
terrific gain indeed.
Agressive
Craps: Betting
On
Shooter B
Since you really have nothing to lose and everything to gain
by avoiding Shooter A and betting on Shooter B, the next question is
how should
we bet on him? Should we go the traditional Pass/Come with Odds, or
should we
figure some other method of betting?
I’d like to propose that in Shooter B’s case above, we
deviate from tradition and mimic his bets because those are the numbers
he’ll
tend to hit! If he is indeed a rhythmic roller and our longed-for
Golden
Shooter, he will tend to hit certain dice combinations more often and
he’ll
tend to bet what has made him money in the past.
It makes
sense then to bet with him then. That would mean
Placing the 6 and 8 and Buying the 4 (if you can afford it).
Would the casino have a significantly greater edge on you if
you did mimic Shooter B? Not really. Placing the 6 and 8 comes in with
a house
edge of 1.52 percent, while buying the 4 for $25 or $50, and only
paying the
vig if you win, comes in at about 1.3 percent.
Essentially,
you are making a
bet that has a combined house edge close to that of the Pass Line or
Come when
you don’t take odds.
Of course, skillful, professional, rhythmic rollers have
different dice sets for different parts of the game.
For
example, on the
come-out where the 7 is a desirable number, you might see them use one
set and,
once the point is established, you will note them set an entirely
different
way.
You’ll note that they do this every time it is their
turn to roll --
come-out roll, one dice set; attempting to make the point or other
numbers, a
different dice set.
Still, most Golden Shooters will not be that accomplished
and they will, sadly, not be found 50 percent of the time as in the
example of
Shooters A and B above.
Indeed, you will probably discover
that the overwhelming
majority of players will be more like Shooter A than Shooter B and that
even
those players who do take care with their dice sets will often just
fling the
dice down the table once those sets are completed or, conversely, those
who
take great care with their shooting style will often not care how the
dice are
set before they shoot.
Neither of these types is a Golden
Shooter. They just
have developed a bit of style in their shooting.
Aggressive
Craps: How Much Time Do You
Have To Kill?
Many players don’t have the luxury of going to casinos daily
or weekly and/or don’t have the patience or desire to hang around
waiting for
just the right prescription of dice-set and delivery before they plunge
into
the fray.
Such players are understandably anxious to get
into the action. If
that characterizes you, then there is also a way to put into effect the
Aggressive
Craps principles above.
Bet more on the Golden Shooters and
much, much less on the
other shooters.
If you are normally a $60 bettor when you
are fully spread out,
then drop down to a $30 spread on all Shooter A types. But when Shooter
B types
come along, go to $90 and take your shot. In fact, you will save
yourself some
money doing this as Shooter B’s do not make up anywhere near 50 percent
of all
shooters.
When you are on your low bets, play a traditional, tight
game of Pass/Come with Odds. But when you are going on the Shooter B
types
mimic their betting with this caveat -- avoid any bets that have a
house edge
of four percent or higher.
That leaves you essentially
betting the Place numbers in
accord with the shooter (if the shooter does this) or going up on the
Come if
the shooter prefers this style.
Aggressive
Craps: Luck Helps Those Who Help Themselves
I have been playing craps a long, long time and it never
ceases to amaze me how many long-term players, when it is their chance
to roll,
just fling the dice and hope for the best.
Some shooters
don’t even look as if
they want to win.
Some don’t even look where they are
throwing the dice; they
look away. These shooters have no style, no panache, and no real chance
of
beating the game in the long run of their own individual rolling
careers.
Once again, you have nothing to lose and everything to gain
by attempting to utilize a controlled dice-set and delivery.
You
have nothing
to lose by concentrating on making yourself a Golden Shooter. If you
love to
play craps anyway, why not give yourself a chance to win on your own
rolls?
At the very least, taking great care with your form
will
engage you more than just chucking the dice down the table.
The Aggressive Craps players can cut their overall
risk by
not betting every shooter (or by betting less on the random rollers)
and cut
into the casino comp coffers by tipping the right way and betting at
the right
times. Why bother playing any other way?
Aggressive
Craps is
followed by Craps Vig
OR
Return
to Learn
to Play Craps Program
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