Horseracing
System #3
by Vincent Conti
Horseracing System
#3 is
about Maiden
Claiming and Maiden Special Weight Races. A favorite horse racing betting pick comes from the popular, yet
difficult maiden race. I say this because there’s usually minimal
performance
statistics to work with in most maiden races and this can cause
difficulty
picking a winner.
Have you ever noticed how many maiden races are listed on the
daily program at any given track? Have you ever noticed that this is
the more
common of the daily races?
At most horseracing tracks the
pick 6 wager usually starts with a
maiden race and ends with a maiden race. Some days there may be three
to four
maiden races on a given program.
There are numerous difficulties in finding a winner in a
race where some of the horses never ran a race. Some of the horses may
be 0 for
20 lifetime in starts, and some have as little as 2, 3 and 4 races
under their
belts - so to speak. First time starters are hard to gauge, even with
solid
trainers and owners with above average win percentages.
So what do we
do? Play
the favorite? Play what the public is betting? Play your favorite
horseracing system number?
Here’s a simple yet effective horseracing system for picking maiden
horses.
- Equipment Change - Blinkers On
- First Time Lasix (L1)
The equipment change is
essential in
getting a horse to run
correctly. Maiden horses are sometimes nervous or panicky.
Blinkers
assist in
preventing a horse from these symptoms and aid in improving a horse’s
race
structure.
In today’s horseracing world, most horses run on Lasix. However,
look for Lasix that is added to a horse after its
first or second
outing.
The L1 symbol after its name indicates First-Time Lasix.
Follow these steps when studying a maiden race.
1) Horse gets Blinkers On.
2) In the previous race, notice if the horse showed some
early speed. The early speed factor must
show if the horse was 4th
or better
after or during the first two points of call….OR…
3) Finally, and more importantly; read the short comment;
Look for these certain short comments that apply to the “Blinkers on”
rule.
- Ran greenly
- Drifted
- Stumbled
- Bumped or Checked
These comments place a significant amount of confidence
level into the reasoning of why the blinkers are added and this
technical
maneuver can show racing improvement for the trainer/owner of the
entered
horse.
If a maiden entry fits this type of study in any given
maiden event, this is the horse to play.
A good wager on a maiden race
is the
Win, Place and Show wager. This is a good cover bet considering the
unpredictable running form of first time starters that are also entered
in
these types of races.
In addition too but not limited to your handicap analysis,
there are other significant changes from one maiden race to the next
that
should be noted.
Such as a horse's workouts, however the top 3 rules to this
strategy remain the core particulars to follow.
Horseracing
System--Important Note:
If a horse gets blinkers added and the short comment states the horse
ran
greenly…wager on this horse. Regardless of rule 2. Rule 1 &
Rule 3
together
produce winners also.
Handicappers will perform the basic analysis, and a good
handicapper will put these additional factors in there proper
perspective while
analyzing a maiden race.
Race change: turf to dirt or dirt to turf changes. I know
many trainers that make this switch from time to time and their maiden
horse
ends up in the winners circle. It’s good to track certain trainers and
have
knowledge of their M.O.
Distance change from previous race.
Dropping in class. A trainer may be looking for a range of
maiden class where their maiden horse can compete without being outrun.
Wager type: WPS
Win
Percentage:
When Rules 1, 2 and 3 are applicable a win percentage of 65% has been
surveyed
over the period of one year.
When Rules 1 and 3 are applicable, a 53% win survey was
calculated over a one-year period.
From
HorseRacing System #3, return to Learn Sportsbetting
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